期刊論文
| 學年 | 98 |
|---|---|
| 學期 | 1 |
| 出版（發表）日期 | 2009-08-01 |
| 作品名稱 | Insight of the Fuzzy Grey Autoregressive Model |
| 作品名稱（其他語言） | |
| 著者 | 曹銳勤; Tsaur, Ruey-chyn |
| 單位 | 淡江大學經營決策學系 |
| 出版者 | Springer |
| 著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 | Soft Computing 13(10), pp.919-931 |
| 摘要 | In our previous research, we proposed a fuzzy grey regression model for solving limited time series data. The present paper follows the previous research and proposes a fuzzy grey autoregressive model for considering that the current value is correlated with previous values. The proposed model combines the advantages of the grey system model, the fuzzy regression model and the autoregressive model. Two illustrated examples are provided in which the amount of internet subscribers in Taiwan and the global demand of LCD TVs are forecasted. The results of these practical applications show that the proposed model can be used to obtain smaller forecasting errors of MAPE and RMSE, and that it makes good forecasts for the next demand period of internet subscribers and LCD TV. Furthermore, this model makes it possible for decision makers to forecast the best and the worst estimates based on fewer observations. |
| 關鍵字 | Grey model GM(1,1);Fuzzy regression;Autoregressive model;Fuzzy grey regression model |
| 語言 | en |
| ISSN | 1432-7643 |
| 期刊性質 | 國內 |
| 收錄於 | |
| 產學合作 | |
| 通訊作者 | |
| 審稿制度 | 否 |
| 國別 | TWN |
| 公開徵稿 | |
| 出版型式 | ,電子版 |
| 相關連結 |
機構典藏連結 ( http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/50406 ) |